Blockchain
Get the latest news and information on the future of blockchain and crypto, including price predictions from analysts perspectives for the major coins.
Blockchain News from CoinTelegram
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Israeli authorities said a military reservist and a civilian were arrested after allegedly using classified information to place bets related to military strikes on Iran. |
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The UK appointed HSBC Orion for its DIGIT pilot to explore blockchain bonds, aiming to improve efficiency, cut costs and boost security. |
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An OKX-commissioned Pollfish survey finds 13% of Gen Z have paid for dates with crypto, while many non-users cite a lack of a direct way to do so. |
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High TPS figures promise scale, but every additional transaction increases the burden on the very nodes meant to keep networks decentralized. |
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Spark’s new lending suite tests institutional appetite for onchain stablecoins Spark is rolling out Spark Prime and Spark Institutional Lending, aiming to turn its DeFi stablecoin stack into institutional margin and credit lines. |
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Tether Gold and the Paxos-issued PAX Gold account for over 95% of the tokenized commodities market, which is now outpacing tokenized stocks and funds. |
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Robinhood is testing its own Arbitrum‑based Ethereum layer‑2, deepening its push into tokenized stocks and DeFi infrastructure alongside other major exchanges. |
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The six-month central bank pilot brings together market infrastructure providers, banks and Web3 companies to assess how core UK markets could move onchain. |
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Flash Freezing Flash Boys is a novel proposal for per-transaction encryption to prevent frontrunning. |
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Public companies that amassed large Solana positions in 2025 have paused accumulation as equity markets reprice SOL-heavy balance sheets. |
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SEAL and the Ethereum Foundation created a Trillion Dollar Security dashboard to track Ethereum security as part of efforts to fight wallet drainers. |
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Base creator Jesse Pollak said after rolling out the Base App to the public in December, "we’ve realized we need to do less, better." |
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How client-side validation complicates wallet SDK architecture: RGB-WDK integration analysis A CTDG Dev Hub participant introduces an adapter layer for RGB to facilitate seamless integration with wallet SDKs. |
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The Ethereum co-founder outlined alternative stablecoin models that he says better align with DeFi’s original promise of risk decentralization. |
Blockchain.News
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AAVE trades at $127.75 with neutral RSI at 47.69. Technical analysis suggests recovery toward $135-140 resistance zone within 4-6 weeks, contingent on breaking above $133.71. (Read More) |
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LDO Price Prediction: Targets $0.42 by March as Technical Indicators Signal Recovery LDO Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $0.38 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.40-$0.42 range • Bullish breakout level: $0.42 • Critical support: $0.33 What Crypto Anal... (Read More) |
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HBAR Price Prediction: Hedera Eyes $0.12 Resistance as Technical Indicators Signal Mixed Outlook HBAR trades at $0.10 with 12% daily gains, approaching key $0.11 resistance. Technical analysis suggests potential breakout to $0.12 or pullback to $0.09 support zones. (Read More) |
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dogwifhat (WIF) trades at $0.23 with neutral RSI and bearish momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $0.25-$0.27 range if key resistance breaks, though downside to $0.20 remains... (Read More) |
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PEPE Price Prediction: Technical Indicators Point to Consolidation Phase Ahead Despite Recent 7.65% Gain PEPE shows mixed signals with 42.58 RSI in neutral territory and bearish MACD momentum despite today's 7.65% price surge, suggesting consolidation before next directional move. (Read More) |
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Algorand shows bullish momentum with 7.79% daily gains. Technical analysis suggests ALGO price prediction targets $0.12 resistance level within 4-6 weeks despite neutral RSI conditions. (Read More) |
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Injective (INJ) shows mixed signals at $3.20 with neutral RSI and bearish momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $3.50-$4.00 range within 4-6 weeks if key resistance breaks. (Read More) |
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CRV Price Prediction: Curve Eyes $0.27 Resistance Break with Neutral Technical Setup Curve (CRV) trades at $0.25 with mixed signals. Technical analysis suggests $0.27 resistance test possible, but bearish MACD warrants caution for February targets. (Read More) |
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FLOKI Price Prediction: Technical Consolidation Signals Potential Recovery Despite Current Bearish Momentum FLOKI trades with 6.26% gains amid mixed technical signals. RSI at 38.29 suggests oversold conditions while MACD remains bearish, creating setup for potential reversal. (Read More) |
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Toncoin shows bullish momentum with 5.29% daily gains and neutral RSI at 53.07. Technical analysis suggests TON could target $1.65-$1.75 range if it breaks $1.55 resistance, with downside risk to $... (Read More) |
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SHIB Price Prediction: Technical Analysis Points to $0.0000085 Target as RSI Shows Neutral Momentum Shiba Inu trades at $0.00000645 with neutral RSI at 44.79 and bearish MACD momentum. Technical analysis suggests $0.0000085 upside target based on recent consolidation patterns. (Read More) |
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Worldcoin (WLD) trades at $0.41 with 6.33% gains, eyeing $0.52 resistance breakout. Technical analysis suggests potential 27% upside if bulls maintain momentum through February. (Read More) |
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SUI Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.04-1.10 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.20-1.46 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.04 • Critical support: $0.89 What Crypto... (Read More) |
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Optimism (OP) trades at $0.19 with neutral RSI at 33.30. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $0.22-$0.24 range within 4-6 weeks if key resistance breaks. (Read More) |
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ARB price prediction suggests potential recovery to $0.15 in coming weeks as technical indicators show oversold conditions, though bears remain in control below key resistance levels. (Read More) |
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APT Price Prediction: Oversold Conditions Signal Potential Recovery to $1.20 by March 2026 Aptos (APT) trades at $0.96 with RSI at 28.14 indicating oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $1.20 resistance level within 4-6 weeks. (Read More) |
Blockchain - Hacker Moon
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BitMEX launched a campaign from February 12 to March 12, 2026, offering 70,000 USDT in prizes for users trading equity perpetual contracts on stocks like Apple and Tesla. The campaign includes three reward categories: trade rewards up to 500 USDT for 10,000 USD volume, 5 USDT for social media sharing, and 5 USDT for completing an educational quiz. Equity perps allow cryptocurrency traders to speculate on stock prices without traditional brokerage accounts, operating 24/7 with leverage and crypto settlement. BitMEX emphasizes its security record and twice-weekly proof of reserves publications. The campaign targets user acquisition during Q1 earnings season when stock volatility typically increases trading interest.Read All |
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How Buck Reached 10% Yield Without Compromising Stability in DeFi's Rate Wars Buck Labs announced on February 12 that it would increase yields from 7% to 10% and transition from manual reward claims to automatic distribution. The changes apply to the existing token infrastructure, not a separate asset, and represent the company's attempt to carve out territory in what CEO Travis VanderZanden describes as the "SavingsCoin category"Read All |
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WaaP Launches on Sui: How human.tech Is Transforming Access for 3 Million Crypto Users WaaP is a new protocol built on top of the Sui network. Sui is one of the top Layer 1 blockchains by activity. In October 2025, Sui hit a record $2.6 billion in TVL.Read All |
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Why Ault Blockchain's Zero-Speculation Model Could Redefine How Layer 1 Networks Launch Ault Capital Group launches Ault Blockchain public testnet, a Cosmos-based Layer 1 with no token sale, targeting institutional finance.Read All |
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Solving Crypto's $1 Trillion Problem: Inside Ramp Network's Fiat-to-Crypto Infrastructure Przemek Kowalczyk is the co-founder and CEO of Ramp Network. Ramp Network is building the financial pipes that connect 150+ countries to the crypto economy. The simple act of converting fiat to crypto and back continues to create friction.Read All |
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Uniswap V3’s Collect events can mix returned liquidity with earned fees. Here’s why explorers look “misleading,” and how semantic decoding fixes it.Read All |
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The Engine Room Principle - Why Real Alpha Engineers Never Leave the Trenches Leaders must understand the machinery they're operating at the most granular level possible. Lee Kuan Yew never stopped understanding Singapore's systems at the component level. Every decision you make at the policy level has cascading technical implications.Read All |
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ai.com launches autonomous AI agents for consumers, founded by Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek, with a Super Bowl LX ad premiere on February 8, 2026.Read All |
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Embodied AI, Explained: When Robots Leave the Chatbox and Hit the Real World Embodied AI creates systems that can interact with their immediate environment with the aid of technologies like sensors, motors, and machine learning.Read All |
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Playnance, a Tel Aviv-based Web3 company founded in 2020, made its first public announcement in February 2026 after operating in stealth mode for five years. The platform integrates with more than 30 game studios, converting thousands of games into on-chain experiences while processing approximately 1.5 million blockchain transactions daily from over 10,000 users. Most users originate from traditional gaming environments and onboard without crypto wallets or blockchain knowledge, using standard Web2 login systems while blockchain operations run invisibly. The company's G Coin is currently in pre-sale mode, and CEO Pini Peter emphasized building usable systems over blockchain education. Playnance's approach contrasts with typical blockchain gaming projects that prioritize token economics and decentralization messaging, instead treating blockchain as backend infrastructure that users never directly interact with.Read All |
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Blockchain promises to reinvent trust in multi-party systems. Using blockchain can improve both supply chain transparency and traceability. Walmart “can now trace the origin of over 25 products from 5 different suppliers” on the blockchain. Maersk and IBM’s TradeLens platform uses blockchain to digitize shipping documents.Read All |
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Autonomous AI agents are emerging as independent economic actors, requiring payment systems that work without human identity or approval. Blockchain, stablecoins, and AI-native payment protocols like x402, Visa Trusted Agent Protocol, and PayPal’s Agentic Commerce are laying the foundation for a machine-to-machine economy. Analysts project this “agentic economy” could reach up to $30 trillion by 2030, making crypto-based, programmable payments the natural financial layer for AI-driven commerce.Read All |
Blockchain - NewsBTC
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Over the past week, the Bitcoin price kept on putting in consecutive lows, with barely any hopes in sight for a bullish reversal. However, on Friday, February 13th, the flagship cryptocurrency saw an upward momentum boost, where its value subsequently grew by 5.4%. While this may have been good for short-term traders (specifically scalpers), a troubling future seems to be lying in wait for the premier cryptocurrency. This bearish prognosis is based on a recent technical evaluation of the Bitcoin price. SuperTrend Indicator Flashes Sell Sign On BTC Monthly Timeframe In a 14 February post on social media platform X, influential technical analyst Ali Martinez revealed that the Bitcoin market could soon experience a significant macro trend shift. This hypothesis is based on the SuperTrend Indicator, which is a technical tool that indicates whether an asset (in this case, Bitcoin) is in an uptrend or in a downtrend. Related Reading: Solana Reclaims $80 Amid Friday Market Bounce – Analysts Set Next Targets This indicator plots a trailing level that acts as dynamic support when the price is in an uptrend, or resistance when in a downtrend. When the price is above the SuperTrend line, the market is considered to be in an uptrend; while when the price is below the line, on the other hand, it indicates that the market is in a downtrend. When a candle closes decisively beneath the dynamic trend line when previously in an uptrend, it indicates that the market has now flipped bearish, and vice versa. Interestingly, on the monthly timeframe, the candle now trades beneath the SuperTrend line, indicating that the market may be leaning bearish. Interestingly, the current setup shares semblance with past cycle transitions. From the chart shared by the analyst, it is clear that Bitcoin’s macro structure has gone through a series of expansions and deep retracements. These retracements were also properly illustrated on the indicator in their early stages. Before the late 2014-2015, the 2018, and the 2022 bear markets, the SuperTrend Indicator flashed a sell signal, after which the market entered a bearish phase. Considering the sell signal was seen on Bitcoin’s monthly chart, this could be a sign that the retracement here might be long-term, as expected in a typical bear market. However, it is worth noting that the present market dynamics are very different from previous cycles, as institutions are more involved and ETFs have expanded investor horizons. Hence, these underlying changes might play a role in the present cycle. If the sell signal from the SuperTrend indicator aligns with on-chain activity and macro events, and Bitcoin manages to close beneath the SuperTrend line, a bear market would likely follow, one where Bitcoin’s devaluation by at least 60% may be seen. On the other hand, if new demand enters the Bitcoin market, and the flagship cryptocurrency demonstrates resilience, the current signal could become a short-term warning, rather than a bear-market signal. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, Bitcoin holds a valuation of about $68,984, reflecting a 4.5% price jump in the past 24 hours. According to CoinGecko data, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has shrunk in value by approximately 29% on the monthly timeframe. Related Reading: JPMorgan Keeps Bitcoin Bull Case: $266,000 Remains The Target Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView |
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Michael Saylor’s latest message is blunt and direct: “Go Bitcoin today — the money won’t fix itself.” He’s pressing an idea he has pushed for years — that holding Bitcoin is a deliberate choice against the slow decline of fiat money — and his firm’s actions back up the words. Bitcoin sits below Saylor’s firm’s average purchase price, yet buying has continued. Related Reading: Calm Down: Ethereum Has Survived 8 Major 50% Falls, Lee Reminds Investors Strategy’s Massive Position According to reports, Strategy now holds 714,644 BTC. The average cost of that stash is listed at $76,056 per coin. Recent filings show another 1,142 BTC was bought this month at about $78,815 each, a purchase that amounted to roughly $90 million. At today’s trading levels near $68,000, the position shows an estimated unrealized loss of close to $6 billion, while the reported book value of holdings tops $54 billion after nearly six years of steady accumulation. Go bitcoin today. The money won’t fix itself. — Michael Saylor (@saylor) February 13, 2026 Public companies together are reported to hold about 1.13 million BTC, and Strategy makes up almost two-thirds of that total. Reports note that close to 200 public firms hold some Bitcoin, though most of the new buying in January was concentrated in a very small group. One company leads the herd by a large margin. High-Conviction Buying Saylor’s message isn’t just rhetoric. Reports have disclosed that Strategy follows a long-range plan that includes a seven-year road map disclosed in its Q4 2025 filings, which aims to raise Bitcoin per share by 2032 based on various yield scenarios. The firm’s playbook is simple: buy on dips and avoid selling. The mantra is repeated: buy Bitcoin and do not sell. That posture has consequences. Some see it as a show of commitment that can encourage other firms and big investors to act similarly. Others view the heavy concentration of corporate exposure as a source of market fragility — if Strategy were to change course unexpectedly, prices could shift fast. Liquidity matters. That risk is understated when the focus is only on conviction. Related Reading: XRP Set To Dethrone Bitcoin Within 6 Years, Entrepreneur Says Market Impact And Criticism Reports say the firm’s buying has been so large that it dominated corporate additions in January, accounting for more than 90% of net new corporate Bitcoin purchases that month. That level of dominance brings scrutiny. Questions have been raised about governance, balance sheet risk, and what long-term holding means for shareholders who expect stable returns. Some critics argue that a company piling into a volatile asset creates a mismatch with traditional corporate responsibilities. At the same time, supporters argue that patient ownership of Bitcoin can protect against long-term currency erosion. This is the case Saylor makes: losses on paper are temporary if the thesis holds, and time is an ally for those convinced of Bitcoin’s store-of-value case. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView |
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After a dour performance throughout the week, the price of Bitcoin experienced a fair amount of bullish impetus on Friday, February 13th. Going into the weekend, the premier cryptocurrency seemed on its way to reclaim the psychologically relevant $70,000 level. Interestingly, recent on-chain data shows that this latest bullish spurt might be the start of, at least, a short-term rally for the Bitcoin price. Is Bitcoin On The Verge Of A Short Squeeze? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, market analyst CryptoOnchain revealed that the Bitcoin Funding Rate on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has dropped to a critically low level — one not seen in over a year. The relevant indicator here is the 14-day Simple Moving Average (SMA-14) of BTC Funding Rate. Related Reading: Ethereum Derivatives Reset Raises Questions About Next Price Move: What Happens Next? Typically, the Funding Rate metric estimates the periodic fee paid by traders in a derivatives market for a particular cryptocurrency (Bitcoin, in this case). When the funding rate is in the positive territory, it usually implies that the long traders (investors with buy positions) are paying a fee to short traders (investors with sell positions) in the derivatives market. On the flip side, a negative funding rate metric, as is the case currently, suggests that the payment is going from the short traders to the long traders. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the 14-day SMA of the Bitcoin Funding Rate on Binance has fallen to -0.002, its lowest level since September 2024. As CryptoOnchain rightly noted, a deeply negative funding rate, especially one that lasts over a 14-day average, indicates that bears (short traders) are increasingly betting against the premier cryptocurrency. The market analyst noted that these extremely negative values often correlate with the bottom of severe downward trends. CryptoOnchain wrote in the post: From an on-chain and market psychology perspective, deeply negative funding rates often serve as a strong Contrarian Signal. The market currently appears to be heavily “overcrowded” on the short side. From a historical perspective, this on-chain trend has often set the stage for a potent short squeeze, where a minor price rebound could trigger a cascade of liquidations of the mounting short positions. This cascade of short liquidations often serves as jet fuel, further propelling the Bitcoin price to the upside. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin stands at around $69,000, reflecting an over 5% jump in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Historical Pattern From 2017 Signals Bitcoin Price Crash To $35,000 Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView |
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Ethereum climbed back above $2,000 after a softer-than-expected US CPI print, and the move has traders and analysts debating whether the worst is behind the coin or if this is a temporary relief rally. Related Reading: Calm Down: Ethereum Has Survived 8 Major 50% Falls, Lee Reminds Investors Reports say futures open interest has fallen sharply over the last 30 days, funding rates have swung into deeply negative territory, and some on-chain metrics point to a clustered support zone below current prices. Open Interest Drop Raises Questions According to CryptoQuant, the headline figure showing an 80 million ETH decline in open interest across major venues grabbed attention. That number, if taken at face value, would be huge. It suggests large positions were closed rather than new ones being put on. But the scale of the change also invites scrutiny; reporting errors or dollar-value comparisons mislabeled as ETH can happen. Still, a sizable pullback in futures exposure on exchanges including Binance, Gate, Bybit and OKX has been logged, and that much appears real. Funding Rates And The Crowd Funding rates on some platforms are pushing to levels not seen in roughly three years. When traders pay to hold short positions, it signals strong bearish conviction. It is reported that such extremes tend to be followed by a sharp reversal as the crowd can become one-sided, and that leads to a quick reversal as the market sentiment changes. This was seen at the end of 2022, where there was extreme shorting followed by a quick reversal. This does not mean that it will happen this time around as markets can remain one-sided for longer than expected. Support Zones And Technical Targets Glassnode’s on-chain data reveals a significant cost-basis area between $1,880 and $1,900, where about 1.3 million ETH was traded. The $2,000 mark is acting as a psychological anchor and is reinforced by moving average clusters. A breakout from the recent falling wedge pattern points to an initial measured target near $2,150, a ceiling that would be tested before higher resistance near $2,260 and then $2,500. Those levels are not certainties; broader market tone and Bitcoin’s direction will influence whether they are reached. Related Reading: XRP Set To Dethrone Bitcoin Within 6 Years, Entrepreneur Says Reduced open interest lowers the risk of cascade liquidations for now, which can tame intraday volatility. At the same time, low funding rates show that bearish bets are still active and could be squeezed if momentum turns. Reports say accumulation wallets increased inflows when prices dipped, hinting at longer-term conviction among some investors. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView |
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As the crypto market recovers, Solana (SOL) has bounced from a major level trendline and momentarily reclaimed a key horizontal level. Some analysts have signaled that a retest of a crucial short-term resistance could be coming, while others have warned that a breakdown to new lows remains possible. Related Reading: Ethereum $1,900 Retest Could Decide Next Major Move – Is ETH Preparing For New Lows? Solana Bounces From Two-Year Trendline On Friday, Solana bounced 10.3% to break past the $85 area for the first time in three days. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between $78-$88 over the past week, briefly falling to $67 during last Thursday’s correction. SOL lost the mid-zone of its local range after recent market volatility, falling below $80 on Thursday. However, Today’s rebound has sent the altcoin above these recently lost levels, setting the stage for a potential recovery. Amid this performance, market observer Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that the cryptocurrency has reclaimed the key $80 level, which has historically served as major resistance and support. To the trader, the Solana must hold above this area and form a base above it before “watching for a low-timeframe market structure break back to bullish.” Analyst Ali Martinez observed that sustained buying pressure could push SOL’s price toward the $88 level, not seen since the start of the week. The altcoin has been unable to break above this level since last week’s breakdown, becoming a key short-term resistance area. A breakout from this level could open the door for a retest of the $90-$96 zone, where the April 2025 lows are. Meanwhile, Crypto Batman noted that Solana is retesting its two-year descending trendline in the weekly timeframe, located around the recent lows. The chart shows that the macro trendline has been holding since early 2024 and has been tapped multiple times throughout the cycle. As the analyst explained, “Over the past 2 years, every time the price touches this level, a massive reversal occurs.” During this period, it has also marked the bottom of each major correction, with the latest retest taking place in Q2 2025 and leading to the following quarter’s rally. SOL Breakdown Still Coming? Despite the bullish outlooks, other market watchers have shared potential bearish forecasts for Solana if momentum weakens. Altcoin Sherpa warned that SOL could drop to $50 if selling pressure pushes the price below a crucial area. The chart shows that after losing the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around the $121 mark, and the April 2025 lows, the key area to hold is the recently visited local range lows. As the analyst displayed, if the cryptocurrency fails to hold the $77-$78 price area, the next major historical support sits near the November 2023 breakout area, around the $51 mark. Market watcher Crypto Bullet suggested that Solana’s bottom may not be in yet, arguing that “those who bought BTC above $80k and SOL above $120 must stay trapped for a year or two.” Related Reading: LayerZero (ZRO) Soars 40% Amid Zero Blockchain Debut, Major Institutional Backing He affirmed that “returning to those levels anytime soon doesn’t make sense,” as the cryptocurrencies are in their markdown period. In an X post, he emphasized the market cycle phases, pointing out that the accumulation phase occurred between 2022 and 2023, while the distribution phase occurred between 2024 and the start of 2026. Based on this, the analyst’s chart shows that SOL could potentially find a bottom around the $40 area. As of this writing, Solana is trading at $84.17, a 2.5% decline in the weekly timeframe Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com |
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As Bitcoin (BTC) trades roughly 50% below its all‑time high, investors are once again asking the familiar question: how long does recovery usually take? Market analyst Sam Daodu believes history offers valuable clues. No Systemic Bitcoin Collapse This Time? Daodu notes that steep corrections are not unusual for Bitcoin. Since 2011, the cryptocurrency has endured more than 20 pullbacks exceeding 40%. Mid‑cycle declines in the 35% to 50% range have often cooled overheated rallies without permanently derailing long‑term uptrends. In situations where there was no systemic breakdown in the broader market, Bitcoin has typically reclaimed prior highs in about 14 months. He contrasts the current environment with 2022, when multiple structural failures shook the crypto industry. Related Reading: Trump Media Files For Cronos, Bitcoin‑Ether ETFs With Staking Focus At present, there is no comparable collapse rippling through the system. The analyst highlighted that BTC’s realized price—currently near $55,000—may provide a psychological and technical floor, as long‑term holders have historically accumulated coins around that level. Whether the present downturn evolves into a drawn‑out slump or a shorter reset, Daodu suggests, will largely hinge on global liquidity conditions and investor sentiment. A Look Back At Historic Selloffs During the 2021–2022 cycle, Bitcoin peaked at $69,000 in November 2021 before tumbling to $15,500 one year later, a 77% drop. The downturn coincided with monetary tightening by the US Federal Reserve, alongside the collapse of the Terra (Luna) ecosystem and FTX’s bankruptcy. It ultimately took 28 months for Bitcoin to surpass its previous high, which it did in March 2024. At the market bottom, long‑term holders controlled roughly 60% of circulating supply, absorbing coins from forced sellers. The 2020 COVID‑19 crash unfolded very differently. In March of that year, Bitcoin plunged about 58%, sliding from approximately $9,100 to $3,800 as global lockdowns triggered a liquidity shock. Bitcoin rebounded quickly. It reclaimed the $10,000 level within six weeks and retook its 2017 high of $20,000 by December 2020, about nine months after the bottom. The eventual surge to $69,000 in November 2021 came roughly 21 months after the crash. The 2018 bear market presents yet another contrast. After reaching $20,000 in December 2017, Bitcoin collapsed 84% to $3,200 by December 2018. The implosion of the initial coin offering (ICO) boom, combined with regulatory crackdowns and limited institutional participation, drained speculative energy from the market. Active addresses declined by 70%, and miners were forced to capitulate as revenues shrank. Without significant new capital or a compelling growth narrative, Bitcoin required nearly three years to revisit its previous peak. Not Capitulation Yet The depth of the drawdown itself plays a critical role. Historically, corrections in the 40% to 50% range have taken roughly nine to 14 months to reverse, while collapses exceeding 80% have required three years or longer. Related Reading: Standard Chartered Lowers Bitcoin Forecast: Predicts Price Dive To $50,000 Before Rebound With Bitcoin now down about 50% from its peak, the decline falls into what Daodu describes as a moderate‑to‑severe category—substantial, but not indicative of full capitulation. Based on prior episodes of similar magnitude, he estimates that a return to previous highs could take 12 months or more, with macroeconomic conditions ultimately determining the speed of that rebound. As of writing, BTC was trading at $68,960, having recovered slightly on Friday with a 5% increase in an attempt to surpass its short-term resistance wall at $70,000. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com |
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has plunged recently. Here’s what this could mean for the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin NUPL Has Dropped To The 0.18 Level In a new post on X, o-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin NUPL, which is an indicator that compares the amount of unrealized profit and loss held by investors on the BTC blockchain. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token on the network to find the price at which they were last involved in a transfer. If this previous selling price is greater than the current spot price for any coin, then that particular token is assumed to be carrying some net unrealized profit. Similarly, the cost basis being lower implies the token is underwater. Related Reading: Bitcoin On-Chain Heatmap Shows All Major Metrics In The Red The exact amount of profit/loss held by a coin is equal to the difference between the two prices. The NUPL sums up this value for each category and then subtracts it to determine the net situation for the network. Additionally, it also divides the result by the market cap to showcase how the net profit/loss among investors looks relative to the asset’s total valuation. Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NUPL over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin NUPL shot up above the 0.5 level during the rallies in 2024 and 2025. This suggests that investors were carrying net profits more than half as much as the cryptocurrency’s market cap. These phases of euphoria were followed by price declines that took the metric into the zone between 0.25 and 0.5. BTC managed to recover from the first two of these drops, but the latest one has been followed by an extended phase of downtrend. From the chart, it’s visible that this bearish action has taken the cryptocurrency to a value of 0.18. This level indicates that profits are still dominant on the network, but they are much thinner than before. The level lies inside a region that the analytics firm defines as pertaining to “hope/fear” among the investors. “This regime tends to be reactive: rallies meet sell pressure, and downside can extend as conviction fades,” explained the analytics firm. The last time that the Bitcoin NUPL saw a substantial drawdown into the region was during the 2022 bear market. Back then, the cryptocurrency ended up traveling right through the zone and into the extreme fear area below the zero level, corresponding to net losses being held by the majority of investors. Related Reading: Shiba Inu At Risk of 70% Decline? Price Breaks Below Parallel Channel It now remains to be seen how long the cryptocurrency will stay in the region for this time around and which one will follow next. BTC Price Bitcoin dropped toward $65,000 on Thursday, but the asset has kicked back up to $69,000 on Friday. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com |
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A US Army veteran and XRP community influencer has drawn attention with a bold prediction: he believes XRP could overtake Bitcoin as the top cryptocurrency within six years. Related Reading: Calm Down: Ethereum Has Survived 8 Major 50% Falls, Lee Reminds Investors His comments come amid a period of market turbulence that has seen Bitcoin’s value slide and XRP’s price fluctuate. Analysts warn the scenario is highly speculative, but it has sparked debate among traders and enthusiasts alike. Market Size Versus Market Story Reports note that Bitcoin still dominates. With a market cap near $1.37 trillion, it dwarfs XRP’s $86 billion. At current prices, XRP would need to climb to roughly $22.5 per token just to match Bitcoin’s market value. That represents a nearly 1,500% increase from today’s trading levels. The scale of the gap makes Patrick Riley’s forecast ambitious, especially considering Bitcoin’s long-standing role as the leading crypto asset. If Bitcoin doesn’t break $150,000 this year and reclaim it’s twelve year trend line, it’s going to re-test $1,000. Either way it goes, $XRP will take the #1 spot within the next 6 years after which Bitcoin will be relegated to a nostalgia collectible for those with an interest in… pic.twitter.com/TxOnCdCqHB — Patrick L Riley (@Acquired_Savant) February 10, 2026 Riley bases part of his prediction on long-term trendlines. According to him, Bitcoin’s price has slipped below significant trendlines drawn over the past decade. Whether Bitcoin recovers above these levels or continues its decline, Riley believes XRP could rise to take the top spot. He sets a timeline of six years for this shift, putting the potential event around 2032. Technical Lines And Tale-Telling Reports have disclosed that trendlines can influence trader behavior but do not guarantee outcomes. A chart stretching back over a decade may appear decisive, yet actual price movements are shaped by many factors: market confidence, institutional activity, regulation, and capital flows. Riley has previously made headlines for suggesting high-profile figures are tied to Bitcoin’s creation and framing market swings as deliberate attempts to suppress XRP. Such claims energize communities but are not proof of likely outcomes. Currently, Bitcoin trades roughly 16 times larger than XRP by market capitalization. Even after recent market drops, it maintains deep liquidity and a strong network effect. XRP would need a combination of wider adoption, investor confidence, and market momentum to close that gap. According to reports, this would require events that fundamentally shift how capital is allocated in the crypto space. Related Reading: Is XRP About To Surprise The Market? Finance Expert Weighs In What Would Have To Happen Reports say XRP overtaking Bitcoin remains a speculative scenario. Bitcoin would need to experience a sharp decline, or XRP would need extraordinary growth — possibly both — for the top spot to change hands. Market watchers suggest keeping an eye on adoption trends, partnerships, and price action over the coming years. For now, Bitcoin’s position remains secure, while XRP’s potential rally continues to excite its community. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView |
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XRP continues to face persistent selling pressure, with price action showing limited momentum as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile. The token has struggled to establish a clear recovery trend, reflecting cautious investor sentiment and subdued speculative activity. While volatility has eased compared with previous sharp moves, the lack of strong buying conviction suggests the market remains in a consolidation phase rather than a confirmed rebound. Related Reading: Bitcoin BCMI Drops Toward Bear Market Territory: How Close Is BTC To A Real Buy Zone? A recent CryptoQuant report provides additional insight through analysis of XRP trading volume on Binance using a 30-day Z-Score framework. According to the data, XRP is currently trading near $1.37, with daily trading volume around 173 million XRP. The Z-Score hovering close to zero indicates that trading activity is broadly aligned with its recent historical average, without significant spikes or contractions. This equilibrium in volume typically reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, often emerging after periods of heightened volatility. Rather than signaling immediate bullish or bearish dominance, such conditions tend to accompany market stabilization or repositioning phases. In practical terms, the data suggest traders are reassessing exposure while awaiting clearer directional signals. Until a decisive increase in volume or sentiment emerges, XRP’s price dynamics may remain slow, with consolidation continuing to define the near-term market environment. XRP Volume Equilibrium Suggests Consolidation Before Next Major Move Historical comparisons in the CryptoQuant report suggest that XRP’s volume Z-Score has frequently acted as a leading indicator for major price movements. Periods marked by sharp spikes in the metric have often preceded significant directional moves, both upward and downward, as sudden increases in trading activity typically reflect shifts in market conviction. Conversely, when the Z-Score stabilizes near zero, the market tends to enter a consolidation phase in which buying and selling pressures remain broadly balanced before a new trend eventually develops. The current reading fits this latter pattern. With the Z-Score hovering close to neutral levels, XRP appears to be in a holding phase rather than building momentum for an immediate breakout. This environment generally corresponds with reduced volatility, slower price development, and cautious positioning among market participants. However, such equilibrium phases rarely persist indefinitely. A decisive increase in trading volume could quickly alter the landscape. A sustained move in the Z-Score above +2 would likely signal strengthening participation and potential bullish momentum, while a sharp drop below that threshold could indicate renewed defensive positioning and the risk of further corrective pressure. For now, volume behavior suggests preparation rather than resolution, with the next significant move likely dependent on whether participation expands or contracts. Related Reading: Ethereum Endures Historic Liquidation Week: Largest Sustained Liquidation Phase Since 2021 XRP Price Tests Key Support As Downtrend Structure Persists XRP continues to trade under sustained selling pressure, with the chart showing a clear deterioration in structure since late 2025. After failing to hold above the $2.00–$2.20 region, price action accelerated lower, pushing XRP toward the $1.30–$1.40 area, which now represents the nearest visible support zone. The recent decline appears sharp rather than gradual, suggesting reactive selling rather than orderly repositioning. From a trend perspective, XRP is trading below its major moving averages, which are now sloping downward. This alignment typically reflects a bearish medium-term structure, where rallies tend to encounter resistance rather than trigger sustained upside continuation. The inability to reclaim these averages reinforces the idea that momentum currently favors sellers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Losses Hit Luna Crash Levels — But Price Context Points To A Different Market Phase Volume dynamics also deserve attention. The latest drop was accompanied by elevated activity compared with preceding consolidation phases, indicating active participation in the selloff rather than thin liquidity moves. Historically, such spikes can precede either capitulation lows or continued downside, making confirmation essential. Technically, a sustained recovery above the $1.80–$2.00 region would be needed to stabilize sentiment. Until then, the broader structure suggests caution, with consolidation or further downside remaining plausible scenarios while market confidence rebuilds. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com |
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Bitcoin is nearing a level on the MVRV ratio that historically lines up with market “undervaluation,” according to CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Dan, as traders look for signs that a four-month drawdown from October 2025’s all-time high is shifting from distribution into accumulation. Is Bitcoin Undervalued? In a post on X, Korean Dan said Bitcoin is “approaching the undervalued zone,” arguing that the market is getting close to a threshold that has often marked compelling risk-reward for longer-horizon buyers. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Leading On-Chain Analyst Sees A Floor Forming “After reaching its all-time high in October 2025, Bitcoin has been declining for approximately 4 months and is now approaching the undervalued zone,” he wrote. “Generally speaking, when the MVRV ratio falls below 1, Bitcoin is considered to be undervalued. The current value is around 1.1, which can be seen as being close to the undervalued zone.” The MVRV framing matters because the metric has tended to compress toward 1 around prior cycle lows. The chart shared alongside the post shows the ratio at roughly 1.10, with earlier sub-1.0 dips highlighted around past bottoming windows. Crypto Dan cautioned that traders shouldn’t assume the current setup will rhyme perfectly with prior drawdowns, specifically because the preceding advance looked different on valuation measures. “ However, unlike previous cycles, it is necessary to recognize that in this cycle, Bitcoin did not sharply rise all the way into the overvalued zone during the uptrend,” he wrote. “Accordingly, the pattern of the decline may also appear differently from the previous bottom zones, so it seems prudent to prepare for that possibility in our response.” That caveat became the focal point of a short back-and-forth in replies. One user, onlyus8x, suggested that if Bitcoin reached this cycle’s prior all-time high more than three times faster than before, the downturn could also resolve faster—“might the winter also pass 3 times faster?” Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes Luna-Level Capitulation Signal at $67K, Not $19K Crypto Dan pushed back on a simple speed analogy, replying: “Because there are differences from your past, I personally set the criteria differently from past decline cycles by comprehensively judging these things as well.” Mayer Multiple And The 200-Week MA A separate post from analyst Will Clemente pointed to two long-watched, price-based benchmarks that are also pressing into historically constructive ranges. “Throughout Bitcoin’s life span we have seen two indicators continue to be the best global market bottom signals: The Mayer multiple (distance from 200 day moving average) and the 200 week moving average,” Clemente wrote. “Both of these are clearly in long term accumulation territory.” The charts he shared show a Mayer Multiple around 0.60, alongside a backtest table that flags prior instances when the indicator fell to roughly that level. The same image placed Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average near $57,926, with Bitcoin shown about 15% above it and a note that it has “not yet touched” that line in the current drawdown. At press time, BTC traded at $67,277. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com |